The Digital Environment: Taking the Long View

2.Predictions about new media are often misguided



Technological Myopia:
First order effects are overestimated.
Second order effects are underestimated.
First order effects are changes in practice or structure that are evident in particular sites and across the system as a whole. Second order effects are the impact of these changes on patterns of social access and opportunity and social justice. Ball on Walker, 1981, "Education Policy and Social Class."

Myopic Technological Rationalism:
Attributing excessive importance to the efficiency of the new medium.

Technological Efficiency Paradox:

Technology offers the potential to make life easier but added complexities increase both difficulty of use and user frustration.

Concept application articles:

Google Wants Driverless Cars, but Do We?

OR BOTH

VR started with gaming—but it will take over every other industry

AND

Your Body Is Not Ready For Virtual Reality

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Fidler (Mediamorphsis)